{
 "name": "Russia–NATO risk ladder (russianato.site)",
 "description": "Free, read-only data on the risk of a Russian attack on NATO countries: published forecasts, our model and hand-coded intelligence assessments, each labelled.",
 "mcp": {
  "endpoint": "https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp",
  "transport": "streamable-http",
  "tools": [
   "get_overview",
   "get_risk_ladder",
   "get_forecast_history",
   "get_intelligence_assessments",
   "get_sources",
   "get_other_forecasts",
   "get_changelog",
   "get_methodology"
  ]
 },
 "api": {
  "overview": "https://mcp.russianato.site/api/overview",
  "ladder": "https://mcp.russianato.site/api/ladder",
  "history": "https://mcp.russianato.site/api/history",
  "intel": "https://mcp.russianato.site/api/intel",
  "sources": "https://mcp.russianato.site/api/sources",
  "forecasts": "https://mcp.russianato.site/api/forecasts",
  "changelog": "https://mcp.russianato.site/api/changelog",
  "methodology": "https://mcp.russianato.site/api/methodology"
 },
 "raw_data": "https://russianato.site/data.json",
 "llms_txt": "https://russianato.site/llms.txt",
 "disclaimer": "Not an intelligence forecast. Only levels 2 and 3 have published numeric series (Metaculus crowd forecasts). Levels 1, 4 and 5 and every future value are model output built on editorial assumptions. Percentages of different levels do not add up and cannot be split between countries. Intelligence services publish no percentages; their tone is coded by hand from -2 to +2.",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Source: russianato.site. When you use these figures, cite and link https://russianato.site and keep the provenance labels (published forecast / our model / manual estimate).",
  "url": "https://russianato.site"
 },
 "usage": {
  "access": "Free, read-only, no API key. Cite and link https://russianato.site.",
  "third_party_rights": "Attribution does not grant a licence to third-party content. Source terms continue to apply.",
  "metaculus": "Metaculus requires prior written permission for AI/ML training or development and a separate agreement for commercial use. Verify redistribution rights with Metaculus.",
  "manifold": "Manifold API terms apply; commercial AI/ML training requires a data licence.",
  "source_terms": [
   "https://www.metaculus.com/terms-of-use/",
   "https://www.metaculus.com/api/",
   "https://docs.manifold.markets/api#licensing"
  ]
 }
}